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The Next Step
Beef, Aug 1, 2001
Wes Ishmael
Just as some producers are growing
more comfortable with the notion of coordinated production and
marketing, that dynamic beast known as the alliance is changing
its spots. And it is supposed to.
“The alliance should always have been
viewed as a means to an end rather than the end in itself,” says
Clem Ward, a professor and Extension economist at Oklahoma State
University.
But, ever since alliances began peering
over the industry horizon in earnest about six years ago, plenty
of folks viewed them as the end, rather than one more stepping
stone toward the consumer.
“Most all beef alliances started out
trying to group numbers of similar cattle together, believing that
had more value to the packer,” says Trent Loos of Loos Cattle
Co., Norris, SD, a sixth-generation producer. “They all started
with the packer as the market. But the ones that survive will be
the ones focused on the end user as the market. Any alliance that
isn't based solely on consumer desires is not an alliance.”
Loos speaks from his experience on the
pork side. In 1993 he coordinated a cooperative of independent hog
producers, including himself, that used similar genetics and
management to churn out a consistent product. Collectively, they
felt like the 200,000 hogs they could offer each year would serve
up market leverage. Like virtually every other pork producer
cooperative, it failed.
Loosening Personal Control
Loos explains the primary reason producer
cooperatives, like theirs, lost the battle was the reluctance of
the producers involved to sacrifice any control in making
decisions. A single person at a vertically integrated behemoth
like Tyson or Smithfield Farms could decide how a large population
of hogs would be built and managed in order to satisfy specific
consumer desires. But, Loos says, cooperative producers wanted to
maintain complete control of their supply contribution.
Ironically, the fear of corporate entities
telling producers what to raise and how is one reason Ward says
beef producers are growing more comfortable with the concept of
coordinated production and marketing.
“It seems to me there was a lot of fear
that alliances would lead to vertical integration like in the
poultry and pork industries. Now, people can see that isn't going
happen,” he explains.
That's not saying producers are falling
over each other in a race for alliances. There's a growing
recognition, however, that the cost of amassing the land and
cattle necessary to supply even a small branded beef system means
that vertical coordination rather than owned integration will
likely be the rule of thumb in the beef business.
However, as the alliance concept evolves
in the cattle business, Loos explains volume and product
consistency will continue to be the drivers.
“This is not a packer-driven situation,
it's retail-driven,” says Loos. “There are 20 grocery store
chains in this nation today that own 52 percent of the market
share, and they have increased in size because it increases their
purchasing ability.”
Retailers know that with size, they can
demand products customized to their customer and offer them at
prices competitive with generic commodity products. They're using
size and brands to carve out more market share.
Consequently, Harlan Ritchie, a
distinguished professor of animal science at Michigan State
University, explains, “Even to serve a mid-sized retailer, you
need a significant supply chain. You must have a packer
participating in the production group and the retailer.”
The Same, But Different
Today, the beef industry is witnessing the
birth of comprehensive gene-to-retail supply chain systems such as
Future Beef Operations and Rancher's Renaissance. Rather than
aggregate similar kinds of cattle and then market those cattle to
a number of different brands, these systems are formally aligned
with seedstock and commercial producers, stockers, feedlots,
packers and retailers. They channel production and management
toward specific consumers with specific brands.
Ritchie says the components in these
emerging vertically coordinated systems are essentially the same
as in traditional alliances.
“The fundamentals are the same — the
common objectives, establishing information flow throughout the
chain, putting incentives in place to encourage producer
participation,” he explains. “But as we get into them, I don't
think we realize how challenging they are, especially when you're
dealing with a biological, perishable product like beef.”
That's an argument producers often cite in
dismissing the idea that the beef industry — in which production
occurs in diverse, uncontrolled environments — could ever mimic
the pork and poultry industries where the production environment
is manufactured to be the same, wherever it exists.
“Producers say that kind of system can
never exist in the beef industry because you can't confine the
animals. Well, you don't confine the animals, you confine the
revenue supply,” says Loos.
More specifically, alone and in
partnership, rather than confine animals, Loos says the pork and
poultry industries figured out how to harness the capital beneath
a single production and marketing umbrella. This allowed them to
fuel growth whether the commodity market was up or down.
“I can remember going to pork producer
meetings in 1988 and talking about how we had to band together or
wind up like the poultry industry,” says Loos. “Today, I hear
those same arguments from beef producers.”
For instance, Loos says pork producers
wondered where all the true-blue stockmen would come from if the
independents fell by the wayside. In reality, the pork industry
has taken folks who didn't know a pig from a porcupine and trained
them to be some of the top managers in the business.
“My challenge to the beef industry is to
see all of this and to give up some of the decision making power
they have so they can sustain themselves in the future,” says
Loos. He believes that within five years the beef industry will
see landowners and labor suppliers emerge as contract entities for
folks providing the revenue.
Loos says that in five years there will be
players, who the industry has not even heard of today, who will
constitute a major force in the U.S. beef business. “These are
not animal husbandry people. They will be money people,” Loos
predicts.
Moreover, Loos believes sustaining a beef
operation will revolve around fitting into a system based on
profitability, period. “You have to look at it and decide what
you can do that will guarantee a certain percentage of profit over
a certain period of time,” says Loos.
Actually, that notion is what helped
transform one small, independent pork producer into one of the
largest in the nation.
“They focused on profits rather than
premiums,” says Loos. “They didn't care whether they got paid
$10/cwt. or $70/cwt. as long as they could be guaranteed a profit
every year that they could take to the bank.”
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